New York Fed (Empire State) index

History, bitcoin reaction and upcoming dates

How bitcoin, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reacted

BTCS&P 500Nasdaq

Percentage change from the start of the selected period.

What it is and why it matters

The Empire State Index is a monthly survey of manufacturing activity in New York State. Its release gauges business confidence: strong data can raise expectations of Fed tightening, usually negative for bitcoin and other risk assets; weak results tend to boost risk appetite and support crypto markets.

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History and BTC reaction

24 releases

Period	Value	Prev.	BTC before	BTC after	BTC reaction
September 2026	7.6	20.6	—	—	—
August 2026	20.6	15.6	$78,189	$76,417	-2.3%
July 2026	15.6	5.7	$63,044	$64,532	+2.4%
June 2026	5.7	19.6	$65,044	$63,932	-1.7%
May 2026	19.6	11	$65,746	$64,509	-1.9%
April 2026	11	-0.2	$81,090	$77,458	-4.5%
March 2026	-0.2	7.1	$74,132	$77,072	+4.0%
February 2026	7.1	7.7	$71,212	$73,909	+3.8%
January 2026	7.7	-3.7	$69,823	$67,504	-3.3%
December 2025	-3.7	13.5	$96,952	$95,148	-1.9%
November 2025	13.5	7.8	$88,172	$86,243	-2.2%
October 2025	7.8	-7	$94,594	$92,215	-2.5%
September 2025	-7	9.1	$113,028	$106,432	-5.8%
August 2025	9.1	3.1	$115,268	$116,448	+1.0%
July 2025	3.1	-14.9	$118,295	$117,405	-0.8%
June 2025	-14.9	-6.9	$119,841	$119,178	-0.6%
May 2025	-6.9	-8.6	$105,415	$104,551	-0.8%
April 2025	-8.6	-15.7	$103,508	$103,127	-0.4%
March 2025	-15.7	4.3	$84,592	$84,948	+0.4%
February 2025	4.3	-7.4	$83,983	$84,010	+0.0%
January 2025	-7.4	2.2	$97,500	$95,780	-1.8%
December 2024	2.2	16.8	$96,561	$104,077	+7.8%
November 2024	16.8	-14	$101,420	$106,134	+4.6%
October 2024	-14	3.8	$87,326	$89,856	+2.9%

Values are shown exactly as in the calendar. “BTC before/after” is the price one day before and about two days after the release (the release date is an estimate; daily Binance candles).

Upcoming dates

15:30

Oct 16, 2026 · 15:30

US · importance ★★