Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

History, bitcoin reaction and upcoming dates

How bitcoin, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reacted

BTCS&P 500Nasdaq

Percentage change from the start of the selected period.

What it is and why it matters

Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) measures annual wage growth in the US. Faster wage gains point to potential inflation, which could drive Fed rate hike expectations and dampen risk appetite, negatively affecting bitcoin and crypto markets. Weaker data, by contrast, tends to support demand for risk assets.

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Release history and BTC reaction

Date	Actual	Forecast	Prev.	BTC reaction
02.10.2026	3%	3.2%	3.1%	+1.9%
04.09.2026	3.1%	3%	3.2%	-1.1%
07.08.2026	3.2%	3.5%	3.5%	+0.9%
02.07.2026	3.5%	3.5%	3.4%	+5.2%
05.06.2026	3.4%	3.4%	3.6%	-0.9%
08.05.2026	3.6%	3.8%	3.5%	+2.8%
03.04.2026	3.5%	3.7%	3.8%	+3.2%
06.03.2026	3.8%	3.7%	3.7%	-6.9%
11.02.2026	3.7%	3.6%	3.8%	+0.0%
09.01.2026	3.8%	3.6%	3.5%	-0.1%
16.12.2025	3.5%	—	3.7%	-1.1%
16.12.2025	3.7%	—	3.8%	-1.1%
20.11.2025	3.8%	3.7%	3.7%	-7.4%
05.09.2025	3.7%	3.7%	3.9%	+0.4%

“BTC reaction” is the price change over about three days around the release (daily Binance candles).